汽车制造见解
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美国帮助推动德国机床销售

As Germany’s second-largest export market, the United States took delivery of 1.12 billion euros worth of German machine tools in 2017, which is up 20 percent compared to 2016. For incoming orders, the German Machine Tool Builders’ Association, VDW, is optimistic that the United States will follow a moderate growth path, thanks in part to the government’s tax cuts.

2017年1月特朗普总统就职几天后VDW他说,他相信总统增加美国国内生产的举措将对全球机床销售产生积极的影响这篇博客.特朗普总统上任一年后的情况表明,普罗科普是对的。

每VDW,相比2016年德国机床行业记录产量的4%的增长在2017年,以生产值达到15.7十亿欧元。据普罗科普先生,主要驱动经济增长的一个是外国的交付。In 2017, 71 percent of machine tools made in Germany were exported, an increase of 8 percent as compared to 2016. While China remains Germany’s biggest export market, the Americas’ demand for German machine tools increased by 20 percent as compared to the previous years. The United States, Germany’s second biggest export market, took delivery of German machine tools worth 1.12 billion euros (up 20 percent compared to 2016). For incoming orders, Mr. Prokop is optimistic that the United States will follow a moderate growth path, also thanks to the government’s tax cuts. However, concerns about protective tariffs on imported goods and a strong euro remain, Mr. Prokop says.

加德纳情报的加德纳商务指数:金属加工,它采用来自美国业务收集的数据,相当于德国的高涨情绪。这表明,制造商可以期待新订单超过产量持续业的增长。金工指数张贴在2017年显著更大的平均每月增长超过任何其他自2011年以来,这是从大衰退中复苏的一年。

对于像位于Tübingen的刀具制造商保罗·霍恩(Paul Horn)这样在美国投资生产基地的公司来说,再加上美国的企业减税政策,这是一个好消息。Horn的董事总经理、德国VDMA精密工具协会主席洛塔尔•霍恩表示,这些减税措施对本地和外国投资是一个很好的激励。

德国精密工具销售(包括切削工具、夹紧技术和工具制造)反映了美国制造业的总体积极趋势。霍恩说,与机床行业的发展类似,德国精密工具制造商在2017年实现了7%的销售增长,而出口增长了13%。与2016年相比,中国对美国的切削工具出口增长了4%,工具制造出口增长了33%。

对于2018年,VDW和VDMA预计产量的5%的增长,而这两个协会预计汽车行业仍将是未来发展的主要驱动因素,尽管市场担心世界从内燃机电气化时代搬走。普罗科普先生和Horn先生相信,机床和精密工具的消费量将继续增长。有几个原因。

First, the reduced metal removal rates triggered by the age of electrification is offset by the global increase in the total number of passenger car registrations over the coming years, mainly driven by demand from China, the world’s largest car market, which is responsible for approximately 30 percent of global passenger vehicle sales, Mr. Prokop explains.

其次,优化燃烧技术的复杂性以及内燃机与电驱动概念的结合,增加了加工的不同需求。优化的内燃发动机将导致新的发展,如可变压缩涡轮发动机,以提高性能和效率。这些复杂的发动机需要加工的新零件。即使在电气化时代,我们对内燃机的使用也不会像人们可能认为的那样彻底消失。

汽车行业将越来越多地需要不同的,非常精确和高品质的零件,以满足未来的驱动概念,普罗科普先生和Horn先生说不断变化的需求。For instance, gearboxes will have to be designed to meet the industry’s demand for reduced noise emissions and components will have to be much more wear-resistant to respond to sudden loads, as when switching from the electric drive to the internal combustion engine at high speeds. Brakes will require a sturdier design due to increased weight caused by the additional battery, and we will see a wide-scale need for turbochargers. Finally, we will have to develop new production and machining concepts to manufacture the increasing amount of electric drives including all necessary components.

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